BOOM!!
Ah, the MLB season is right around the corner, another successful NCAA BB season is almost under wraps and the NBA PLAYOFF RUN is just a couple short weeks away!! Have to love this time of year....
Unless you're still shoveling out of an avalanche in New England or those parts. Then you might not be as enthused as we are around here.....
But we have the cure for you -- and EVERYBODY -- out there for this MONSTER TURN THE TABLES TUESDAY night of action in the NCAA BB and NBA!!
We are unloading our entire slate of action -- complete with write-ups -- for 100% FREE!!
How do you like us now?! Let's roll.....
TODAY'S FREEBIE ACTION -- YTD: (64-62-8) -1.40 UNITS
(NCAA BB)
TENNESSEE MARTIN SKYHAWKS (+6.5)
There is no recent history between these teams to go on, with their last meeting against each other coming back in 2009, but Evansville has absolutely owned this series in the history of the match-ups between the two schools. Evansville is 6-1 ML in the 7 meetings between the two schools from 1997-2009, but they split their ATS battle, going 2-2 ATS against each other in that span. It is a battle of two very different programs now as they battle for a spot in the CIT Championship game. This spread might just be a tad too high, as this UT Martin squad has looked impressive in postseason play, with perhaps their most impressive victory coming in their last game, a 70-69 nail-biter against Eastern Kentucky, Evansville has looked impressive in their tournament run as well, but 2 of their 3 wins have come by scores of 5 and 7, respectively, so this one should fall around there again tonight, that is if UT Martin doesn't win this game with their athleticism outright. Most teams usually find it difficult playing in the tight quarters of the Evansville home court and UT Martin most likely won't be any different today. However the Purple Aces play at home down to close out the season was a completely different story as Evansville posted a 3-2 ML record and 0-5 ATS record in their L5 games played on their home court, with 2 of those 3 wins coming by 5 and 7 points as well. Evansville wasn't much better the further you go back, compiling a 3-7 ATS mark in their L10 at home. They have also failed to pick up the money for their backers when playing as the home favorite recently, putting together a 2-6 ATS mark in their L8 when laying the points at home. As I stated earlier, UT Martin has been money for everybody when playing as the road dog lately, posting a perfect 3-0 ATS mark in their L3 when getting the points on the road, but they have been even better all season long. The Skyhawks are a staggering 7-1 ATS in their L8 games getting the points in someone else's building and 11-3 ATS in the 14 games they have been getting the points on the road this season. The Skyhawks do have a chance to win this one outright, as they hold a 12-8 ML record in their 20 games away from home this season and 2 of their L3 losses on the road were by 3 and 5 points, respectively. Too many things in the Skyhawks favor for them not to cover this decent-sized spread. Take the TENNESSEE MARTIN SKYHAWKS as the road underdog tonight.........
TEMPLE OWLS (-1.5)
Tough game to cap with tonight's NIT Final 4 showdown, as both of these squads have been red hot as of late with losses only to the big tournament qualifying teams. Miami comes in having won 3 straight, 6-of-their-L7 and have posted a 9-3 ML mark in their L12 overall. Their only 3 losses in that span have come against the likes of Notre Dame (70-63), North Carolina (73-64) and Louisville (55-53). They have posted a meager 6-6 ATS mark in that span with a 3-2 ATS record in the 5 games they were listed as the underdog in that stretch. Temple has been equally hot as of late, also picking up 3 straight wins, 6-of-their-L7 and have posted a monster 14-3 ML mark in their L17 overall. They too only lost against teams that were heavily considered for the NCAA Tournament with all 3 of their losses to only SMU (twice) and Tulsa in that span. In fact, the Owls have posted a 20-6 ML record in their L26 games dating back to December 14th, with 3 of those losses coming to SMU, two of those losses coming to Tulsa and the lone other loss coming against Cincinnati. Besides Tulsa, they only lost to 2 other teams not in the big tournament all season, with St. Joseph's and UNLV dealing them losses way back during the first month of the season. Perhaps it comes as no surprise then that Temple has come up big for their backers when playing as the favorite this season, with a 5-1 ATS mark in their L6 as the listed favorite and an 11-2 ATS tally in their L13 when laying the points. Neutral courts haven't been their favorite place to play this year, as they are 2-3 ML and 1-4 ATS when playing in a neutral building. However, they did win the two games in that situation in which they were actually favored, covering the spread once and losing a -3 spread with a 58-57 win over La Salle. Miami has fared much better when playing on the neutral court, holding a 4-2 ML and 3-3 ATS record in their 6 games played in a neutral building. However, they failed to get the cover in the lone neutral-court game they played as the underdog this season. Temple will need to shoot better than they previously have when playing at a neutral site, as they put up a 34% FG and shot 26% from behind the arc, while averaging under 60 points in their 5 neutral site games. Even with Angel Rodriguez out tonight for the Hurricanes, that won't get the job done for Temple. The silver lining is they have shot at near 50% overall during their postseason run. This one will be close, but expect Temple to move onto the NIT Championship with a win tonight. Roll with the TEMPLE OWLS as the small favorite.......
(NBA)
SAN ANTONIO SPURS (-8)
This spread has already moved 1.5 points for the Spurs and there is good reason to see them as one of the best bets of the day in today's meeting. I'm sure we all remember the beat-down the Spurs gave the Heat in last year's Finals which inevitably sent Bron Bron back to Cleveland, but the Spurs also dispatched the Heat easily in their first meeting this season, 98-85. Including the Finals, the Spurs have now covered the spread in each of the L4 meetings between the two squads and hold a 6-1 ATS mark in the L7 meetings vs. the Heat. The Spurs come into this one rolling as well, picking up the easy cover in each of their L3 games, with home wins over Memphis by 14, Dallas by 18 and Oklahoma City by 39. They are also 6-1 ML and ATS in their L7 overall, although they have been mediocre on the road lately. They come into this one with a 2-2 ML and ATS mark in their L4 on the road, but they are 4-2 ML and ATS in their L6 away from home. They have also been money when playing as the favorite lately, as they have posted a 5-1 ATS mark in their L6 games when playing as the favorite and an 8-2 ATS mark in their L10 when laying the points. They have been money when the spread has listed them as the favorite between -7.5 and -8.5 points as well this season, with a 5-0 ATS mark in the L5 games played in that range and a 7-2 ATS mark in their L9 of those games, dating back to November 14. On the flip side, the Heat have been anything but consistent lately, as they come into this one with an impressive win over Detroit last time out, but they have gone 2-3 ML and ATS in their L5 overall. They have been money for their backers on their home court lately, posting 5 straight wins on their own court and holding an 8-1 ML mark in their L9 played in Miami. They have dropped 2-of-their-L3 when playing as the underdog lately, and they also have been a tough bet to back when getting anywhere from +7.5-+8.5 points, as they have gone 2-5 ATS in their L7 in that situation. The Heat have a long list of people banged up and questionable for tonight's game, with guys like Beasley, Napier and Deng unsure of their status, but Whiteside and Anderson have been out for 3 games or more already, with the Heat managing just fine in that span. Big favorites have been pretty money lately, just like the Spurs were against the Grizzlies the other night. Expect the same here tonight as they should pull away late and make this game look like a blowout. Take the SAN ANTONIO SPURS in tonight's battle.......
DETROIT PISTONS (-6)
This game should be tight throughout, but we expect the Pistons to have the edge here in terms of covering the spread. Atlanta has seemed to find it's rhythm again lately as they come into tonight's game having gone 3-1 ML and ATS in their L4 games overall, although their one loss in that span came when they were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back (much like tonight) and they were routed by the Hornets, 115-100. They have been disappointing for their backers in the little bigger scale though, posting a 3-4 ML and ATS mark in their L7 overall, while going 1-3 ML and ATS in their L4 on the road. No problem understanding why they have been faltering lately, as this will be their 9th road game in their L12 contests and their legs have logged a lot of miles in the month of March. They wouldn't have covered in either of their L2 games played in Detroit either, with a 3-point win the last time they played there in January, and a loss in their lone trip to Detroit last season. The Hawks have gone 3-0 ML and 2-1 ATS in their L3 when playing as the road favorite, but a little further digging shows them at a modest 5-5 ATS in their L10 away from home when laying the points. The main reason for this play however has been the resurgent play lately of the Pistons who have been red hot as of late, and although they lost their last time out at Miami, 109-102, that loss snapped what was a 4-game winning streak and a 5-1 ML mark in their L6 games prior to the meeting against the Heat. They have posted 3 straight wins on their home court over the likes of Chicago, Toronto and Memphis, while posting a very profitable 5-2 ATS mark in their L7 as the home dog. Even further the Pistons are and impressive 8-4 ATS in their L12 games getting the points at home. They have also been showing up in the big games at home, putting together a 5-2 ML and ATS mark in their L7 games at home against playoff-caliber teams. The Hawks coming in off the win last night, also should bode well for us as a Detroit backer tonight, as the Hawks have mustered a measly 1-6 ATS mark in their L7 games when following an ATS win the game prior. Atlanta will be without the services of backup guard Dennis Schroder, while the Pistons will be missing Greg Monroe for the 7th straight game. They have played well without him for the most part, going 4-2 ATS in their L6 games with him out of the lineup. The Hawks are looking for the 4-game season sweep of the Pistons with tonight's win, with the 3-point win in Detroit and two double-digit blowouts in Atlanta. Still, just can't find a reason not to like Detroit here tonight. Roll with the DETROIT PISTONS to cover against the banged up Hawks here tonight.........
GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (+3.5) AND
OVER 217.5 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS @ LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS
Unlike the Pistons game above, we are going to go against the heavy swing in line movement for the Clippers in this game, as how in the hell can you not go with the Warriors against this inferior Clippers squad, regardless of whether or not the Warriors clinched the #1 seed in the West with their win over the Bucks last game. Golden State continues to be unstoppable, picking up the W in each of their L9 games, while also posting an 8-1 ATS record in that span. They come into tonight's battle of California having taken 2-of-3 from the Clippers this season, although they did lose their lone match-up at the Staples Center this season, 100-86. The Warriors have been a tough bet to back when they have been playing as the underdog lately, going 0-2 ATS in the L2 games they were getting the points and a 1-4 ATS tally in the L5 games as the underdog. They have posted a 3-5 ATS mark when the dog for the season. The Clippers have been on fire themselves lately, posting 7 straight wins overall and a 9-2 ML record in their L11 games. They have been a little less successful at home, posting a just over-.500 record at 4-3 ML, but have been a bankroll-busting 2-5 ATS in those games. They have been just as bad when playing as the home favorite, dropping 3-of-their-L4 in that situation and holding a 5-9 ATS mark in the L14 times they have been laying the points at home. In fact, only 2 of those ATS wins in that span were against a playoff-caliber team with wins against Houston and a lackluster Washington, while the other 3 ATS wins there lately have been against bottom-of-the-barrel teams like the Kings, Timberwolves and mediocre Nets. Not too mention the last two times the Clippers have returned to the Staples Center after extended road trips of 2 or more games, they have lost both of those games, to Houston (100-98) as a 3-point favorite, and in OT to the Blazers (98-93) as a 1-point favorite. The Warriors are a perfect 5-0 ATS in the L5 road games they have played against teams with a winning record. One other factor to consider here, David Guthrie is one of the refs on duty in this game tonight, has a great track record for road teams covering the spread. Home teams are an abysmal 18-35-2 ATS when he officiates a game this season. The Clippers may win this game, but this one may be one that comes down to the final buzzer. As for the Over, these two teams just scream points, so it's hard to ever turn down the chance to jump all over the over play. Not only does the total itself suggest that the books are expecting a lot of points in this one, but these two teams just always seem to hit the Over when going up against each other. The Over is 13-6 for the money side in the L19 battles between the two teams, while also notching an 8-2 success rate in their L10 meetings. The Clippers have also been playing to the Over lately, hitting for a 6-0 winning streak on the Over following an ATS win. And if you need any further convincing, these two teams have been scoring a ton of points on their own lately, with Golden State having hit for 103 points or more in each of their L11 games, and 102 points or more in 17 of their L18 overall. They have hit for less than 107 points only once in their L9 games, and that was when they ended up with 106 against Utah. The Clippers have been putting the ball in the basket just as much lately, scoring 107 or more points in each of their L6 games and hitting for 111 or more in 5 of those games. LA is averaging over 114 points in those games, while putting 119 on the board in each of their L2 contests. Sounds like a good day for the Over. Go with the GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS to cover against their rival AND take the OVER with it........
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