2014 NFL PLAYOFFS: (14-8) +13.65 UNITS
SUPER BOWL: (1-1) -0.10 UNITS
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*2 UNITS* DENVER BRONCOS (-2)
*2 UNITS* OVER 47.5 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ DENVER BRONCOS
CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND: (3-3) -1.35 UNITS
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AFC CHAMPIONSHIP: (2-1) +2.90 UNITS
*5 UNITS* DENVER BRONCOS (-5)
*3 UNITS* OVER 55.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ DENVER BRONCOS
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP: (1-2) -4.25 UNITS
*5 UNITS* SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS (+4)
*3 UNITS* UNDER 40.5 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
*2 UNITS* SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS MONEY LINE (+175)
DIVISIONAL ROUND: (6-3) +11.30 UNITS
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SATURDAY: (3-1) +4.90 UNITS
*3 UNITS* NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (+9)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 43.5 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
*2 UNITS* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+7.5)
*2 UNITS* OVER 51.5 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
SUNDAY: (3-2) +6.40 UNITS
*5 UNITS* SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS (-1)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 41.5 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS
*2 UNITS* SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (+8)
*2 UNITS* OVER 52 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS @ DENVER BRONCOS
*0.5 UNITS* SAN DIEGO CHARGERS MONEY LINE (+1280)
WILD CARD ROUND: (4-2) +3.80 UNITS
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SATURDAY: (1-2) -2.20 UNITS
*2 UNITS* KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-2.5)
*2 UNITS* OVER 46 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
*2 UNITS* PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-3)
SUNDAY: (3-0) +6.00 UNITS
*2 UNITS* SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS (-2.5)
*2 UNITS* SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS MONEY LINE (-145)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 45.5 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS
WEEK #17: (6-8-1) -1.40 UNITS
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Sunday:
(AM PLAYS) (4-5) +0.70 UNITS
*2 UNITS* OVER 44 BALTIMORE RAVENS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS
*2 UNITS* BALTIMORE RAVENS (+6.5)
*2 UNITS* PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-7)
*2 UNITS* WASHINGTON REDSKINS (+3)
*2 UNITS* ATLANTA FALCONS (+6)
*2 UNITS* JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+10.5)
*2 UNITS* HOUSTON TEXANS (+7)
*0.5 UNITS* BALTIMORE RAVENS MONEY LINE (+240)
*0.5 UNITS* JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS MONEY LINE (+425)
(PM PLAYS) (2-3-1) -2.10 UNITS
*2 UNITS* TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+10.5)
*2 UNITS* ARIZONA CARDINALS (+3)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 41 ARIZONA CARDINALS @ SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS
*2 UNITS* OVER 47 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
*2 UNITS* DALLAS COWBOYS (+5)
*2 UNITS* OVER 52.5 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ DALLAS COWBOYS
WEEK #16: (10-6) +7.95 UNITS
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Sunday: (8-6) +4.95 UNITS
(AM PLAYS) (4-3) +1.70 UNITS
*2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+8.5)
*2 UNITS* JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+5)
*2 UNITS* CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3)
*2 UNITS* OVER 46.5 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
*2 UNITS* OVER 45 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS
*2 UNITS* WASHINGTON REDSKINS (+3)
*2 UNITS* OVER 53 DALLAS COWBOYS @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS
(PM PLAYS) (4-3) +3.25 UNITS
*2 UNITS* ARIZONA CARDINALS (+9.5)
*2 UNITS* OAKLAND RAIDERS (+10)
*2 UNITS* BALTIMORE RAVENS (+1)
*2 UNITS* PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+1)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 43.5 ARIZONA CARDINALS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
*0.5 UNITS* ARIZONA CARDINALS MONEY LINE (+390)
*0.5 UNITS* OAKLAND RAIDERS MONEY LINE (+400)
Monday: (2-0) +3.00 UNITS
*2 UNITS* ATLANTA FALCONS (+13.5)
*1 UNIT* OVER 46 ATLANTA FALCONS @ SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS
WEEK #15:
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Thursday: (1-1) -0.10 UNITS
*2 UNITS* OVER 56.5 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS @ DENVER BRONCOS
*2 UNITS* SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (+10)
Sunday: (2-7)
*2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+6)
*2 UNITS* TENNESSEE TITANS (+3)
*2 UNITS* DALLAS COWBOYS (-5)****
*2 UNITS* NEW YORK GIANTS (+8)
*2 UNITS* HOUSTON TEXANS (+5)
*2 UNITS* CLEVELAND BROWNS (+1)
OVER 53 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS
TENNESSEE TITANS MONEY LINE (+125)
NEW YORK GIANTS MONEY LINE (+310)
HOUSTON TEXANS MONEY LINE (+200)
Monday: (1-1) -0.10 UNITS
*2 UNITS* BALTIMORE RAVENS (+5.5)
*2 UNITS* OVER 49 BALTIMORE RAVENS @ DETROIT LIONS
WEEK #14:
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Thursday: (1-1) -0.70 UNITS
HOUSTON TEXANS MONEY LINE (-170)
OVER 43 HOUSTON TEXANS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
Sunday: (5-4) +1.75 UNITS
(AM PLAYS) (3-3) -0.15 UNITS
*2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+6.5)
*2 UNITS* DETROIT LIONS (+3)
*2 UNITS* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+7)
*2 UNITS* OVER 42 BUFFALO BILLS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
*2 UNITS* OVER 41.5 MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS
*2 UNITS* OVER 43 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS
(PM PLAYS) (2-1) +1.90 UNITS
*2 UNITS* NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3)
*2 UNITS* ARIZONA CARDINALS (-4)
*2 UNITS* NEW YORK GIANTS (+4)
Monday:
*2 UNITS* DALLAS COWBOYS (PICK)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 49 DALLAS COWBOYS @ CHICAGO BEARS
WEEK #13:
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Thursday: (3-2)
GREEN BAY PACKERS (+6.5)
OVER 48.5 GREEN BAY PACKERS @ DETROIT LIONS
OAKLAND RAIDERS (+7.5)
UNDER 47.5 OAKLAND RAIDERS @ DALLAS LIONS
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+3) (-115)
Sunday: (3-3-1)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-1)
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-3)****
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-1)
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+7)
UNDER 50 CHICAGO BEARS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS
OVER 48 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ HOUSTON TEXANS
ST. LOUIS RAMS (+7.5)
Monday: (0-2)
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (+6.5)
OVER 48.5 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
WEEK #12:
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Thursday: (0-1-1) -1.05 UNITS
*2 UNITS* ATLANTA FALCONS (+8)
*2 UNITS* OVER 53 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ ATLANTA FALCONS
Sunday:
(AM PLAYS) (3-5-1) +0.70 UNITS
*2 UNITS* TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+8.5) *2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+5)*2 UNITS* OVER 49 TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ DETROIT LIONS*2 UNITS* NEW YORK JETS (+3.5)*2 UNITS* UNDER 44 MIN VIKINGS @ GB PACKERS
(PM PLAYS) (4-3) -1.10 UNITS
OVER 45 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS
DALLAS COWBOYS (-2.5)
OVER 44.5 DALLAS COWBOYS @ NEW YORK GIANTS
(PM PLAYS #2) (0-2) -4.20 UNITS
NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (+2)
OVER 54 DENVER BRONCOS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Monday: (0-0) +0.00 UNITS
No NFL Monday Night plays.
WEEK #11:
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Thursday: (0-1-1) -1.05 UNITS
TENNESSEE TITANS (+3)
UNDER 42 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ TENNESSEE TITANS
Sunday:
(AM PLAYS) (3-5-1) +0.70 UNITS
*2 UNITS* CINCINNATI BENGALS (-5.5)
*2 UNITS* BALTIMORE RAVENS (+3)
*2 UNITS* OAKLAND RAIDERS (+10)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 53.5 WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
*2 UNITS* UNDER 44 ATLANTA FALCONS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
WASHINGTON REDSKINS (+5)
ATLANTA FALCONS (-1.5)
DETROIT LIONS (-3)
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+9)
(PM PLAYS) (4-3) -1.10 UNITS
*2 UNITS* OVER 50 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
*2 UNITS* SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS (+3.5)
*2 UNITS* SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-2.5)
*2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+12.5)
NEW YORK GIANTS (-3.5)
UNDER 45 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS
OVER 46 MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
(PM PLAYS #2) (0-2) -4.20 UNITS
OVER 49 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ DENVER BRONCOS
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (+7.5)
Monday:
*2 UNITS* NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (+3)****
*2 UNITS* OVER 46.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS****
WEEK #10: (6-5-1) +0.55 UNITS
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Thursday: (1-0) +1.00 UNITS
OVER 48.5 WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS
Sunday:
(AM ACTION) (3-5-1) -3.45 UNITS
*2 UNITS* ARIZONA CARDINALS (-3) AND *2 UNITS* OVER 42 HOU TEXANS @ AZ CARDINALS
We told everybody that this Arizona team would be quite the surprise this season and we expect another unexpected win against a disappointing Houston team here today. The Cardinals are coming in off their bye week, but they ended their first half of the season with an impressive win against the Falcons on their home turf prior to the week off. Arizona has been a good team to back at home this season, with a 3-1 ML and ATS record in their own stadium. That has included wins and covers against the Panthers, Lions and Falcons with their only loss coming against Seattle. Houston has only covered one time on the road so far this season, but that came as a +7 point underdog against Kansas City in their last game away from home, and have bee been 1-3 ML and ATS when not playing in their home building in 2013. They also have been disappointing as the underdog team this season, with a miserable 0-5 ML and ATS record when getting the points. Arizona is 1-0 ML and ATS in their lone game listed as the favorite this season. Run with the ARIZONA CARDINALS and the OVER to come through in this AFC-NFC showdown.......
*2 UNITS* CHICAGO BEARS (PICK) AND *2 UNITS* UNDER 52.5 DETROIT LIONS @ CHICAGO BEARS
The Bears are expected to have Cutler back for today's game but that might not matter the way Josh McCown handled this offense against the Packers in their primetime showdown last week. The Lions won the first match-up between these two teams this season, putting massive points on the board to outlast the Bears 40-32 in the dome in Detroit. The Bears were listed as the 3-point dogs in that one, but they have been horrible when listed as the favorite this season, going 1-4-1 ATS in their L6 when playing as the favorite which includes a 3-1 ML mark and 0-3-1 ATS mark in those 4 games. The Lions on the other hand have only been listed as the dog once this season, losing at GB, 22-9, as a +10-point underdog in Lambau. The Lions won on the road off their bye last season, but the year before that, they came in off the bye in Chicago and were blown out 37-13. That was under similar circumstances as well, as prior to the bye they had scored 45 points against Denver in a win. That is where the real play lies in here as the Lions have been brutal when playing in follow-up games after scoring 30+ points the game prior. They are already 0-3 ML and ATS in the 3 games in that situation so far this season, and they are 3-9 ML and 1-9-2 ATS in the L12 times playing after scoring 30+ the game before. Detroit also hasn't had any success in Chicago since the Bush administration, posting 5 straight losses there, with Chicago winning by 4 points or more in each one. Da Bears have owned this series for the most part overall, winning 3 of the L4 between the two teams, and posting an 8-2 ML record over the L10 meetings. Although, Detroit has also been the team to back on the spread in that span, picking up 3 straight wins for their backers in the series and going 6-1 ATS in the L7 match-ups against Chicago. But the Bears have either swept the series or split the inter-division battle against Detroit every season since the 2007-08 season as well. They also have managed an under in all but one year in that span, but today's total is just a tad too high and we should swing through with a nice under casher here today. Roll with the CHICAGO BEARS and the UNDER at home today........
*2 UNITS* PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (+1) AND
*1 UNIT* OVER 47 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ GREEN BAY PACKERS
The Packers should be in trouble today with Rodgers on the sideline and the Eagles playing in full-out mode once again. The Eagles have been money on the road so far this season, picking up the outright win in 3 straight away from home, while posting an overall 4-1 ML record on the road this season. Their only loss came at Denver in which they allowed the Broncos to score 52 points in that one, but they have also managed to post a near-perfect 4-1 ATS record as the visiting team in 2013. They have done so by putting points on the board, hitting for 31 or more in 4 of their 5 road games (all wins) and never failing to score less than 20 in any of them. Philadelphia has also seen the Over come through in all 5 road games this season, and they haven't hit over the total in any game away from home since week 14 of last season. The Packers had their season suddenly turned upside down last week, with Rodgers going down for what could be the rest of the season due to the collarbone injury, but they should have the services of Clay Matthews back today, and they have been coasting at home in 2013 so far, with a 3-1 ML and ATS record in Lambau. They too have managed to top the 20 point mark in each game there so far this season and should at least be able to hit the mark again today as Philadelphia has yet to allow less than 20 points in any game away from home as well. The deciding factor should be Seneca Wallace here today and although he will do a decent job of managing this offense, the Packers should come up a weapon or two short when all is said and done. Go with the PHILADELPHIA EAGLES and the OVER in Green Bay this morning..........
*2 UNITS* ATLANTA FALCONS (+4) AND *2 UNITS* OVER 45.5 SEA SEAHAWKS @ ATL FALCONS
Have to like the odds going in favor of the home team Falcons here today, as not only have the Seahawks been failing to cover their inflated spreads lately, posting a 1-4 ATS record in their L5 overall, but the Falcons are still mighty impressive when playing at home in Matty Ice's career, despite the records they have put forth this season (2-2 ML and ATS) on their home turf. Atlanta has also owned the recent meetings between the two teams, as they picked up two wins against this Seahawks team last season, including knocking them out of the playoffs, and have now won 4 straight match-ups between the two franchises. The two teams played to identical 30-28 wins for Atlanta last season and they have now played to the Over in 4 straight meetings and in 6 of their L7 between them. Pick the ATLANTA HAWKS and the OVER on their home turf today.......
*2 UNITS* NEW YORK GIANTS (-7)
Okay so both of these teams are horrible this season, but there is plenty of value to be found on this Giants squad in this match-up today. For starters, the Raiders are playing as the dreaded West Coast team playing in the early Eastern time zone game. Secondly, the Giants have been playing better as of late, picking up the win by 8 points or more in both of their L2 games and getting the cover in each of their L3. They have only been listed as the home favorite once this season, picking up the 23-7 MNF win against the Vikings and although they have gone 1-2 ML and ATS at home this season, the Raiders are 0-3 ML and 1-1-1 ATS when playing away from Oakland this season. This just seems like a good spot for the Giants and Eli to come through with the ATS cover here today. Take the NEW YORK GIANTS for the early morning cover here today......
(PM ACTION) (1-1) -0.10 UNITS
*2 UNITS* DALLAS COWBOYS (+7)
*2 UNITS* OVER 52.5 DALLAS COWBOYS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
Monday: (2-0) +3.00 UNITS
*2 UNITS* TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+2.5) AND *1 UNIT* OVER 39.5 MIA DOLPHINS @ TB BUCS
The Buccaneers are absolutely garbage and come into this one having dropped all 8 of their games this season and have even dropped their starting QB during the course of the season due to character problems in the locker room. But could anything be worse than the current state of affairs within the Miami Dolphins locker room? The Dolphins have become the biggest soap opera in the NFL as they have one player suspended for bullying (basically) and another apparently sitting in a hospital room somewhere recovering from the situation that transpired. And yet we are supposed to back them on a Monday night game? How the heck are we supposed to even stomach through watching this game? Tampa Bay has yet to win a game this season in 8 tries as I stated above, nor have they picked up the win in 4 tries when playing on their home field. They do however come into this game having played perhaps their best game of the season last week, losing by 3 in OT at Seattle, in a building where nobody plays the home team tough. This crappy Bucs team did. They have dropped two in a row at home by double-digits, but they were much more competitive there at the beginning of the season in their first two games there, as they lost to Arizona by 3 and the Jets by 2. I fully expect this one to come down to the wire as well, as the Dolphins are coming in off their own impressive weird victory last week over the Cincinnati Bengals, in which they blew a late lead, only to be forced to OT, before winning in the most unusual of fashion with a safety giving them the Thursday Night victory. They too have been a team of two different faces on the road, as they come in off two blowout losses away from home -- at New England, 27-17, and at New Orleans, 38-17 -- but they were 2-0 ML and ATS on the road prior to that with impressive wins over Indianapolis and Cleveland. Miami is 1-2 ATS when listed as the favorite this season, having dropped both of the last two games in which the were laying the points. Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS when getting the points this season, but they do come into this one off that cover last week at Seattle and should be ready for their first win here tonight. Take the TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS and the OVER at home for this Monday Night affair.............
WEEK #9: (8-4) +5.50 UNITS
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Thursday: (2-0) +2.00 UNITS
MIAMI DOLPHINS (+3)
UNDER 43 CINCINNATI BENGALS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS
Sunday: (6-2) +5.80 UNITS
(AM ACTION) (3-0) +6.00 UNITS
*2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+9)
*2 UNITS* NEW YORK JETS (+6.5)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 46.5 ATLANTA FALCONS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS
(PM ACTION) (3-2) -0.20 UNITS
*2 UNITS* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-1)
*2 UNITS* BALTIMORE RAVENS (-1.5)
*2 UNITS* PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+6)
OVER 45 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ OAKLAND RAIDERS
OVER 42.5 PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Monday: (0-2) -2.10 UNITS
GREEN BAY PACKERS (-9.5)
OVER 50.5 CHICAGO BEARS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS
WEEK #8: (11-6) +10.50 UNITS
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Thursday: (1-1) +0.95 UNITS
*2 UNITS* CAROLINA PANTHERS (-6.5)
*1 UNIT* UNDER 40 CAROLINA PANTHERS @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
Sunday:
(AM ACTION) (8-1) +13.90 UNITS
*2 UNITS* NEW YORK GIANTS (+5.5) AND
*2 UNITS* UNDER 49.5 GIANTS @ EAGLES AND
*1 UNIT* NEW YORK GIANTS MONEY LINE (+200)
Okay, so if you can't take a guess, the Giants are one of our big plays of the day, as we fully expect for them to come out rolling after finally picking up their first win of the season while burning us in last Monday night's showdown against the Vikings. But for starters, the Giants will be looking ahead to their bye next week and for a change, that might not actually be a bad thing in this instance. The Giants are a dismal 1-5-1 ATS in their L7 games before the bye week in previous seasons, but almost all of those games had them as the listed favorite and they just weren't able to cover the inflated spread, as their 5-2 ML record in those same games would indicate. In his 9 seasons at the helm of the Giants, Coughlin has been a pretty good motivator before the bye week himself, as New York is 6-3 ML in those 9 games and when you add in Coughlin's tenure with the Jacksonville Jaguars, his teams are a whopping 11-4 ML in his L15 games prior to the bye week. Not too mention the Giants will be looking for revenge on the Eagles who defeated them fairly handily, 36-21, in New York back in Week 5 and these two inter-division rivals have split their L4 meetings during the L2 seasons. Last season, the Giants were in pretty much the same waters after suffering a 17-10 loss to the Eagles in their first meeting. They responded in the revenge game by blowing the doors off Philly and winning by 35. Vick was having a nice game against the G-men in the first go-round this season and he is expected to get the nod today, but New York has held him in check in their most recent meetings since the 2010 season, allowing him to complete roughly 50% of his passes, tossing a break-even 2 TD and 2 INT and they have managed to keep him out of the end zone in the rushing game. Manning on the other hand has absolutely torched the Eagles secondary in recent meetings, with 15 TD and only 4 INT in his L5 meetings against them, with at least 300+ yards passing in each of the L2 games. His last 2 contests in Philly have been near perfection as he has tossed for over 560+ yards passing, with a near perfect ration of 6 TD to only 1 INT. In Eli's career, he has 16 TD and 11 INT when playing in Philly, and since being named a starter, he has led the G-men to a 5-3 ML record there with his most recent loss there coming last season by a mere 2 points. The Giants are 2-8-1 ATS in the L11 meetings between the two teams, but the Underdog is also 13-4-1 ATS in the L18 meetings overall, so something has to give there. Both teams are pretty banged up right now and their injuries seem to be mounting by the day and that should help this one stay below the total in the end. Roll with the NEW YORK GIANTS to come away with the WIN in today's battle AND for the UNDER to come right along with it.......
*2 UNITS* DALLAS COWBOYS (+3) AND
*2 UNITS* OVER 51 COWBOYS @ LIONS
The simple play might be on the Lions to bounce back from a tough heart-breaking loss last week in this same dome to the Bengals, with a last second FG blowing a game the Lions should have won, 27-24. That fact alone does not bode well for this Lions team today, as this franchise has been absolutely woeful when playing a game the following week, after previously losing by 3-points or less the week before. If that makes sense. So yeah, the Lions are an abysmal 0-5 ML and ATS in their L5 games played after losing the previously week by 3 points or less. It gets even worse when you dig further into the record books, as in that same situation since the 2005-06 season, the Lions are a dreadful 1-10 ML and 2-9 ATS overall. They have won only 1 time since the 2005-06 season in the week following that close of a loss. No reason to think they will do it today against a Cowboys team that has recently been firing on all cylinders, reeling off two straight wins against inter-division rivals Washington and NY, since their thrilling 51-48 loss against the Broncos at home in week 5. They have been money in virtually every way for their backers, cashing money in 6 of the 7 games they have played so far this season with a perfect 3-0 ATS (1-2 ML) record in those 3 games, with their 2 losses coming by a combined 4 points against Kansas City (17-16) and Denver (51-48). The Cowboys are 1-2 ML on the road this season as well, but they did pull off a nice 17-3 win at Philly last week and lost their opener 17-16 at the undefeated KC. Romo has led the Cowboys to 28 points or more in all 3 of his career meetings against the Lions, 34 or more in 2 of them. In his lone game at Ford Field, he led the Cowboys to a stunning 28-27 comeback win, in which the Cowboys twice erased Lions leads of 13 points. Add to that, he has never thrown for less than 300+ yards against this Lions defense in any of those 3 games and he has 7 TD and 4 INT. We like that Romo. Detroit has also been just brutal when playing their final game heading into a bye week, as they have also produced a woeful 1-9 ML and 3-7 ATS record in that situation over the L10 seasons, with the team going 1-3 ML and 2-2 ATS in the 4 games under Schwartz. Expect the fireworks early and often and this one should be the game of the day when all is said and done. Take the DALLAS COWBOYS AND the OVER in Lion country today.......
*2 UNITS* NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-10.5) AND
*2 UNITS* 1ST HALF: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-7)
This one has blowout written all over it, despite how well the Buffalo Bills have been playing as of late. The Bills come in off a 2-point win against the Dolphins last week, while the Saints are well rested after their bye week. That has proved devastating for Saints opponents in recent seasons, as they have come out of the bye week steaming recently, producing a dominating 4-0 ML and ATS record in that situation over the L4 seasons, which includes a perfect 3-0 ML and ATS record in their 3 games at home in that span, with all 3 of those wins coming by 15 points or more. I fully expect this one to end with at least a 2-TD deciding final score when all is said and done as well. That win in Miami last week was the first time in 3 tries the Bills either won or covered when playing as a road dog this season, and their previous two losses were by 7 points each on the road at the Jets and Cleveland. The Bills are a measly 5-11 ATS when getting the points on the road over the last 3 seasons and although they did cover a double-digit spread in that 2-point loss against New England in week 1, they are 2-3 ATS in their L5 games playing as a double-digit underdog overall. Brees will be looking to dominate a Bills defensive passing attack that is allowing 250+ YPG in the air. Brees wasn't all that great in his lone start against the Bills in a Saints uniform as he tossed for 172 yards, 0 TD and 0 INT back in the 27-7 New Orleans win back in 2009, but he torched them the only other time he faced them as a Charger, hitting for nearly 340 yards with 4 TD and 0 INT in the 48-10 San Diego win in that one. The Saints are a perfect 3-0 ML and ATS at home this season and come into this one having won both of their L2 homes games against Miami and Arizona by 20+ points. In fact 9 of their L11 wins at home have been by at least 14 points or more, with 15 of their L18 wins there finishing with at least a double-digit outcome. They are 4-1 ML and ATS in their L5 homes games against non-division opponents with their only loss coming against San Francisco last year. Pass on the Bills and TAKE THE NEW ORLEANS SAINTS to cover BOTH the FIRST HALF and the GAME in the big easy on this Sunday.....
*2 UNITS* UNDER 39 CLEVELAND BROWNS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
The Browns come into KC in trouble, as they have benched their young starter in Weeden, have lost Hoyer to injury and now are relying on their 3rd string QB, Jason Campbell, to get it done against the undefeated Chiefs at Arrowhead. Just two weeks ago, it appeared the Browns may be a nice surprise team for the NFL season, as they reeled off 3 straight wins and were suddenly sitting at 3-2 on the season. Now, two weeks later, they are in the midst of a 2 game skid and are looking for answers they can get after suffering back-to-back, double-digit, blowout losses at GB and against Detroit. This one could and should be over early as the Chiefs defense should do more than enough to keep Campbell and company in check all day today. Sacks should be a plenty as this KC defense is averaging nearly 6 a game and the Browns O line gives up nearly 4 a game. With the aging feet and movement of Campbell, this Chiefs team should have him on the turf often. The Browns most likely won't get past the mid-double-digits in this game, as the Chiefs have yet to allow more than 17 points in any single game this season (holding 4 opponents to 16-17 points respectively) and they are allowing an average slightly more than 11 PPG in their home contests. In fact, Dallas and Houston scored 16 against them there, while they held Oakland and the Giants to a mere 7 points each at Arrowhead. And the Chiefs haven't necessarily been an offensive juggernaut during this 7-0 stretch, as they have only managed to score more than 26 points in a game twice this season. The Under is a perfect 4-0 in their 4 home games this season, and they have scored a mere 17 points in 2 of those games. In fact, the Under is now 9-1 in the L10 KC home games, immediately after scoring an outright win the week before. Even further the Under is now 14-3 in the L17 Kansas City home games against an opponent with a losing record and 21-5 in their L26 home games overall. Not only is this Chiefs team trying to start 8-0 for the first time since 2003, but they also will be playing with a little bit of revenge on their minds, as they were blasted by this same Browns team 30-7 in December of last year. Roll with the UNDER......
*2 UNITS* NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-6)
Alright, so let's try this again. The Patriots have been killing us the last 2 weeks. They score with 4 seconds left to bust us on the Saints two weeks ago and spoil our sweep in that game and then they blow an early 21-10 lead last week against the Jets to spoil the sweep party for us in that game as well. So the third time is the charm here today? This team has quite a bit of success against the Dolphins when playing at home and should be able to outlast a Miami team that comes in off back-to-back heart-breaking losses to the Bills (25-23) and the Ravens (26-23) in their previous two games. They have now dropped 3 straight on the ML and ATS and are slowly fading into the obscurity that comes with being a Miami Dolphin. The last time the Patriots dropped an OT game was back during the 2009-2010 season when they lost 20-17 at Denver, and they responded in a major way, by blasting the Titans 59-0 the following week at home. In fact, the Patriots haven't lost a game following an OT game the week before since all the way back in the 2002-03 season, with Brady leading his team to a perfect 6-0 ML and ATS record in the 6 games since in that situation. The Patriots are 8-1 ML and ATS in that same situation since Brady took over as their QB in 2001 season and they are 2-0 ML and ATS following an OT loss in the L10+ seasons. Just to throw out even more amazing stats, New England is 25-4 ML in their L3 seasons in Week 8 or later. They are 9-1 ML in their L10 at home, with a 5-2 ATS record in their L7 there, including a perfect 3-0 ML record this season (2-1 ATS). New England has also won 4 in a row against the Dolphins at home, with 3 of those wins coming by double-digits and 2 of them coming by 28 points or more, much like last season's 28-0 drubbing. Back the NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS for the easy win.....
(PM ACTION) (2-3) -2.30 UNITS
*2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+7.5)
*2 UNITS* OVER 47.5 GREEN BAY PACKERS @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS
*2 UNITS* OAKLAND RAIDERS (+2.5)
*2 UNITS* NEW YORK JETS (+5.5)
*2 UNITS* ATLANTA FALCONS (+2.5)
Monday: (0-2) -2.05 UNITS
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-13) AND
OVER 43.5 SEA SEAHAWKS @ STL RAMS
Okay, so this game has stank written all over it, as the Seahawks head into St. Louis tonight for a showdown against a battered and depleted Rams team who will be enlisting the services of Kellen Clemens and his 62.2 career QBR for tonight's big Monday night showdown. We are only going to make each of these plays for 1-UNIT, because not only is nearly 80% of the public on the side of the Seahawks tonight, but so are 95% of the betting experts. I hate seeing those kind of numbers, especially on a weekend we just destroyed the books with, but I don't know how this Rams team is going to find a way to stay within 14 points of this Seahawks team. Surprisingly when you look at the box scores, you see that Bradford has become more of a game manager and his statistics don't really light up the highlight reels, so his loss might not be as huge as everyone would make you believe, but I have to think Seattle is still good enough to walk out of St. Louis with a 17-point win or more. The Seahawks are 1-1 ATS when playing as a double-digit favorite this season and only have two wins in which they have won by more than today's spread, but the Rams have also been blown out by double-digits on 3 occasions this season and pretty much every time they have played the playoff caliber teams. The Rams come in off a 15-point loss at Carolina (with Bradford) and they have previous losses by 24 points to San Francisco at home and at Dallas. St. Louis did get the win at home against Seattle last season, 19-13, and they did pick up the ATS win in the two meetings against the Seahawks last season, but this is not going to be nearly the same Rams team as the one that hung with Seattle in 2012. Seattle has won 4 of the L5 meetings between the two teams, with 3 of the wins coming by double-digits and 2 of them coming by 17 points or more. The Seahawks are also 3-1 ATS when playing as the road favorite, while the Rams are 1-4 ATS when getting the points this season, including 0-1 ATS when playing at home. As for the Over, the Rams come into this one going over the tilt in each of their L4 games and in 6 of their 7 contests so far this season as the winning team has gone for at least 30+ points in each of their L6 games and for 27 or more in all 7 so far in 2013. Against this defense scoring should not be a problem for a Seattle team that has scored 95 total points in their L3 road games combined. Expect big games as usual from Wilson and Lynch, who has personally rushed for 100+ yards in each of his L3 meetings. Tonight's contest should be the same, as this Rams rushing defense currently ranks 30th in the league, while allowing 125+ YPG on the ground. Wilson and Lynch should have a field day with this Rams D. Roll with the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS to cover today's spread AND take the OVER......
WEEK #7:
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Thursday:
*2 UNITS* ARIZONA CARDINALS (+4.5)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 41 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS
Sunday: (8-6) +3.45 UNITS
(PM ACTION) (2-0) +4.00 UNITS
*2 UNITS* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+6)
*2 UNITS* OVER 55 DENVER BRONCOS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
(AM ACTION #2) (3-3) -0.25 UNITS
*2 UNITS* BALTIMORE RAVENS (+2)****
*2 UNITS* SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS (-3.5)
*2 UNITS* GREEN BAY PACKERS (-9)
*2 UNITS* KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-6.5)****
OVER 39.5 HOUSTON TEXANS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
UNDER 41.5 BALTIMORE RAVENS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS
(AM ACTION) (3-3) -0.30 UNITS
*2 UNITS* NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-3.5)****
*2 UNITS* OVER 43.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ NEW YORK JETS
*2 UNITS* BUFFALO BILLS (+7)
*2 UNITS* DETROIT LIONS (-2)****
*2 UNITS* TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+6.5)
*2 UNITS* OVER 43.5 BUFFALO BILLS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS
Monday:
*2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+4)
*2 UNITS* OVER 49 MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ NEW YORK GIANTS
WEEK #6: (5-5) -0.35 UNITS
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Thursday: (2-0) +4.00 UNITS
*2 UNITS* OVER 47 NEW YORK GIANTS @ CHICAGO BEARS
*2 UNITS* NEW YORK GIANTS (+7.5)
Sunday:
(AM PLAYS) (3-3) -0.15 UNITS
GREEN BAY PACKERS
BUFFALO BILLS (+6)
UNDER 41 PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ NEW YORK JETS
ARIZONA CARDINALS (+10)
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (+1)
OVER 50 NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
CLEVELAND BROWNS (+1)
(PM PLAYS) (0-2) -4.20 UNITS
*2 UNITS* WASHINGTON REDSKINS (+5.5)
*2 UNITS* OVER 52 WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ DALLAS COWBOYS
Monday: (0-2) -4.20 UNITS
*2 UNITS* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-1)
*2 UNITS* OVER 50.5 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
WEEK #5: (4-4) +0.70 UNITS
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Monday: (2-0) +4.00 UNITS
*2 UNITS* NEW YORK JETS (+10)
*2 UNITS* OVER 44 NEW YORK JETS @ ATLANTA FALCONS
Sunday: (2-3) -1.20 UNITS
*2 UNITS* HOUSTON TEXANS (+5)
*2 UNITS* ARIZONA CARDINALS (+3)
DENVER BRONCOS (-7.5)
OVER 56 DENVER BRONCOS @ DALLAS COWBOYS
OVER 43 HOUSTON TEXANS @ SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS
Thursday: (0-1) -2.10 UNITS
*2 UNITS* BUFFALO BILLS (+3.5)
WEEK #4:
=================================================================================================
Thursday: (0-2) -4.20 UNITS
*2 UNITS* UNDER 42.5 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS @ ST. LOUIS RAMS****
*2 UNITS* ST. LOUIS RAMS (+3.5)
Sunday: (4-4) +0.70 UNITS
(AM PLAYS) (3-3) +0.80 UNITS
*2 UNITS* CHICAGO BEARS (+3)
*2 UNITS* MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+3)
*2 UNITS* ARIZONA CARDINALS (+1)
OVER 41.5 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ HOUSTON TEXANS
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (+10.5)
NEW YORK JETS (+3.5)
(PM PLAYS) (1-1) -0.10 UNITS
*2 UNITS* ATLANTA FALCONS (-2.5)
*2 UNITS* OVER 48.5 NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ ATLANTA FALCONS
Monday: (0-2) -4.20 UNITS
*2 UNITS* MIAMI DOLPHINS (+7)
*2 UNITS* UNDER 48 MIAMI DOLPHINS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
WEEK #3:
=================================================================================================
Thursday: (1-1) -0.05 UNITS
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (+3)
OVER 50 KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
Sunday:
(AM PLAYS) (0-5)
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (+3)
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+7)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-7)
OVER 44.5 HOUSTON TEXANS @ BALTIMORE RAVENS
OVER 48.5 ARIZONA CARDINALS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
ARIZONA CARDINALS (+7)
(PM PLAYS) (2-2) -0.10 UNITS
ATLANTA FALCONS (+3)
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+10)
BUFFALO BILLS (+2.5)
OVER 41 BUFFALO BILLS @ NEW YORK JETS
Monday: (1-0) +1.00 UNITS
OVER 49 OAKLAND RAIDERS @ DENVER BRONCOS
DENVER BRONCOS (-16)
WEEK #2: (5-6) -1.30 UNITS
=================================================================================================
Thursday: (1-1) -0.05 UNITS
OVER 42.5 NEW YORK JETS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
NEW YORK JETS (+11)
Sunday: (4-3) +0.85 UNITS
(AM PLAYS) (3-2) +0.90 UNITS
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-7)
TENNESSEE TITANS (+8)
WASHINGTON REDSKINS (+7.5)
MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+6)
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+3.5)
(PM PLAYS) (1-1) -0.05 UNITS
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-3)
OVER 44 SAN FRANCISCO 49'ERS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS
Monday: (0-2) -2.10 UNITS
PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+6.5)
OVER 40.5 PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS
WEEK #1: (7-7) -0.35 UNITS
=================================================================================================
Thursday: (1-1) -0.05 UNITS
OVER 48.5 BALTIMORE RAVENS @ DENVER BRONCOS
BALTIMORE RAVENS (+7.5)
Sunday: (4-4) -0.20 UNITS
(AM PLAYS) (4-2) +1.90 UNITS
ARIZONA CARDINALS (+3.5)
OVER 46.5 MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ DETROIT LIONS
ATLANTA FALCONS (+3)
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3.5)
OVER 41.5 ARIZONA CARDINALS @ ST. LOUIS RAMS
TENNESSEE TITANS (+6.5)
(PM PLAYS) (0-2) -2.10 UNITS
NEW YORK GIANTS (+3.5)
UNDER 49 NEW YORK GIANTS @ DALLAS COWBOYS
Monday: (2-2) -0.10 UNITS
WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-4)
UNDER 52 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS
SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (+4.5)
OVER 44 HOUSTON TEXANS @ SAN DIEGO CHARGERS